Bills total on move, on pace to be lowest playoff total since 2009


Buffalo, the AFC East champions, will host Pittsburgh on Monday, with a spot in the AFC Divisional Round at stake. As of Saturday morning, the Bills are favored by 9 points. However, both teams aspiring to secure a victory will have to contend with challenging weather conditions. The initial Over/Under for Monday’s game was set at 43.5, but the total has decreased in correlation with the deteriorating temperature. Currently, the total stands at 33 at DraftKings Sportsbook, marking the lowest for a playoff game since 2009 when the Ravens and Titans faced off in the AFC Divisional Round, with a total of 33.5. Notably, that game featured Kerry Collins for Tennessee and Joe Flacco for Baltimore, with the Ravens prevailing 13-10 as the Under hit.

For those curious about teams’ performance in windy conditions historically, a significant trend emerges: since 2003, there have been 28 playoff games with an average temperature below 40 degrees and wind speeds between 10 and 19 MPH, and the Under has hit in 19 of those games, with one push (68%).

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